|
Climate
Outlook |
|
NO EL NIŅO SHOWING SIGNS -
CONDITIONS CURRENTLY NEUTRAL CURRENT STATUS &
OUTLOOK (APRIL
- JUNE 2007)
|
|
One of the main indicators of El Niņo
activity is the migration of the warmest
sea surface temperatures towards the
central and eastern Pacific. Currently,
the central to eastern
Pacific sea surface
temperatures have remained close to
average during March following the rapid
cooling that took place early this year
as a result of the
demise of the 2006/07 El
Ņino event.
>>Download
ENSO Update
3
(pdf 95k)
March 2007 |
|
Climate
Outlook (Jan -Mar 07) |
|
The 2006/07 El Niņo has finally
ended. All the main El Niņo indicators show that
neutral conditions are returned to the Pacific
Basin.
The PNG National Weather Service
had earlier gone to the media announcing the
potential for reduced rainfall than usual over
some parts of the country from November with a
worst case scenario drought after March 2007
should the episode intensify.
>>Download current El Nino
Update
|
|
REGION/PROVINCE |
OUTLOOK |
|
Momase & Manus
|
Normal or Above Normal (N/AN) |
|
Highlands including parts of
Morobe & Madang |
Normal
(N) |
|
New Guinea Islands including
Bougainville |
Above Normal (AN) |
|
Papua including parts of SHP |
Below Normal (BN) |
Table 1: Summary of rainfall outlook for
Jan-Mar07. |
|
Tropical
Cyclone Outlook |
|
PNG lies outside the main area of
Tropical Cyclone activity, however, on average, 1
tropical cyclone is formed within its region each
season, which runs from November to May. Even then
most tropical cyclones simply form and track either
eastward towards Vanuatu or southwest towards
Australia. Regionally, however, there is a tendency
for an array of tropical cyclones across the central
pacific during developing stage of El Niņo. The
impact on PNG would therefore be in the form of
frequent surging westerly winds. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For more information please contact
Assistant Director
Climate & Special Services
National Weather Service
P. O. Box 1240
Boroko, N. C. D.
Phone: (675) 324 4477
Fax: (675) 325 5201
Email:
kinape@pngmet.gov.pg
Or
Acting Director
National Weather Service
P. O. Box 1240
Boroko, N. C. D.
Phone: (675) 324 4587
Fax: (675) 325 5201
Email:
smaiha@pngmet.gov.pg |
|
|
